Saturday, 10 May 2014

Opinion Polls - Andhra Pradesh 2014 General Elections


Another fascinating story of the elections 2014, and probably the most, is that of AP. Just by dividing the state in two parts, something the Congress has promised in its 2009 manifesto, led to emergence of two new parties which are going to possibly form two new governments in June. At least that's what the opinion polls for the state assemblies in Telengana and Seemandhra are showing. This means the Congress is going to loose its backyard to its fierce loyalist's son - Jagan Reddy. It seems in the last decade or so, all decisions of the party - whether not agreeing to Telengana separation first post 2004, then not allowing Jagan to be the CM after his father's death and finally the bifurcation itself - everything has proved costly to the Congress party. Even its last CM in power Kiran Reddy has decided to form another party and is fighting hard in some parts of Rayalseema. 

Chandrababu Naidu, on the other hand, is waiting desperately to govern half the state he once presided like a CEO from Hyderabad. Its partner the BJP is all preparing to carry on the partnership for some time as they need the required number of MPs from the state. The BJP is happy to play a second fiddle in Seemandhra and is possibly going to lose whatever support base it has in Telengana too. The TRS would be glad to form the next government in Telengana, with or without the support of Congress. All it wants now is to get the reigns of the newly formed state. The left with its some pockets of influence in Khammam and Nalgonda would want to ally with either the Congress or the TRS in Telengana. In Seemandhra, they would probably need to do a lot of rethink of their strategy regarding consolidating in elections. The expected results would be:

TELENGANA (17):
TRS: 7
Congress: 8
MIM: 1
CPI: 1

SEEMANDHRA (25):
Congress: 0
YSRCP: 10
TDP: 13
BJP: 1
JSAP: 1

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