These elections of 2014 would possibly test the waters of the Naveen Patnaik led BJD government in Orissa. The fight is triangular, but the BJP's presence is strong only in about 8 consituencies, of which it should convert a large number.
In the 2009 elections the BJD won hands down with 39% votes and 15 out of the 21 seats (1 of this was with CPI, its ally then). The Congress had won the remaining 6 seats with 25% vote share and the BJP drawing a blank with 15% votes. This time, the BJP is bound to gain around 10% vote share and go up to 25%, with the Congress possibly losing 5% and the BJD its 5%.
Thus the final vote share tally should be:
BJD: 34%, INC: 24%, BJP: 25%.
This would surprisingly make the BJP the second largest party in Odisha for the first time in electoral history. The triangular contest in these seats however, would still lead to a BJD dominance. The Lok Sabha seats predicted for the elections are:
BJD: 13, BJP: 4, Congress: 4
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